@article{Agati_1997, title={Fiducial estimates of unknown probabilities}, volume={57}, url={https://rivista-statistica.unibo.it/article/view/1063}, DOI={10.6092/issn.1973-2201/1063}, abstractNote={The much debated fiducial argument, developed by R.A.Fischer in the thirties, makes the inductive reasoning possible even on the basis of a single sample observation. It allows, when suitably adapted, to describe a personal uncertainty about a probability value (not approximate by an empirical frequency) through second order probability distributions: the proposed models, arisen from the application of fiducial principles to suitable probability transforms (odds and log-odds), required in fact solely a subjective starting evaluation of the unknown probability.}, number={3}, journal={Statistica}, author={Agati, Patrizia}, year={1997}, month={Jan.}, pages={383–396} }